A detailed explanation requires more math, but as a rule,you should keep your models as simple as possible.
随着你继续让你的模型更复杂,你最终会过度拟合你的模型,你的模型将开始遭受高方差。
As you continue to make your model more complex, you end up over-fitting your model and your model will start suffering from high variance.
Adams说,“这是生物学告诉我们的故事-你为什么不回过头来重新思考你的模型。
Here's the story that the biology is telling us-why don't you glaciologists go back and rethink your models.”.
在统计学中所有的区间都是相等的,你不能只选一个来分析,你的模型必须解释所有的间隔。
And in statistics all intervals are created equal,you don't pick only one for analysis, your model has to explain all intervals.
在清洗你的数据并发现哪些特征是最重要的之后,使用你的模型作为预测工具只会增强你的业务决策。
After cleaning your data and finding what features are most important,using your model as a predictive tool will only enhanceyour business decision making.
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