Although the recent 2 year/10 year yield curve inversions have spooked the markets, Vanguard doesn't expect a recession in the next 12 months.
但1998年就是过去40年间唯一一次收益率曲线倒挂之后但没有出现衰退的情形。
Was the only time after the yield curve was reversed in the past 40 years where no recession happened.
自1970年以来,每一次收益率曲线倒挂都预示着1-2年后美国经济将步入衰退。
Since 1970, every upside-down yield curve indicates that the U.S. economy will enter a recession in 1-2 years.
从历史上看,股市在收益率曲线倒挂后继续走高,但考虑到这次情况的不同,投资者需要保持谨慎。
Historically, stocks continue to trend higher after the yield curve inverts, but given the different circumstances this time, investors need to be cautious.
收益率曲线倒挂,尤其是3个月收益率与10年期收益率之间的曲线,被认为是一个重要的衰退指标。
An inverted curve- and especially one between the 3-month yield and 10-year yield- is considered an important recession indicator.
收益率曲线倒挂,尤其是3个月收益率与10年期收益率之间的曲线,被认为是一个重要的衰退指标。
An inverted curve, especially between the three-month yield and 10-year yield, is considered an indicator of economic recession.
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