They're self-aware- or at least they're not overconfident.
他们的主要危险是过度自信。
Our biggest danger is over-confidence.
大脑对于自身做出准确评估的能力,尤其显得过度自信。
The brain is particularly overconfident of its ability to make accurate estimates.
这种“成长”也可以被称为过度自信。
This‘bigging up' might also be termed over-confidence.
但我们不应在过度自信方面犯错。
But we must not err on the side of over-confidence.
心理学把这种现象称为"过度自信"。
Psychologists are calling it“excessive trust”.
他唯一的真正的错误是过度自信。
The only real mistake he makes is trusting too much.
我讨厌声音过度自信。
I hate to sound overly confident.
保罗告诉我们,对自己有任何形式的信心都是过度自信。
But Paul says any confidence at all is over-confident.
修理摩托车时,你最大的敌人就是过度自信。
Your biggest enemy in trying to fix a motorbike is excessive self-assuredness.
在其他情况下,过度自信是减少(但不是消除)当法官被鼓励考虑竞争的假设。
In other situations, overconfidence was mitigated(but not eliminated) when judges were encouraged to consider competing hypotheses.
这种过度自信实际上可能使我们更容易受到操纵,因为我们低估了黑暗模式的力量。
This overconfidence can actually make us more vulnerable to exploitation, because we underestimate the power of dark patterns.
过去二十年里错误的英格兰过度自信已经被哥斯达黎加后来的观望态度所取代。
The misplaced English over-confidence of the previous two decades has been replaced by a wait-and-see attitude post-Costa Rica and Iceland.
过度自信是幻想的一大来源,主要取决于你能编撰的故事的质量和条理性,而并不取决于其有效性。
Overconfidence is a powerful source of illusions, primarily determined by the quality and coherence of the story that you can construct, not by its validity.
然而,这种过度自信是一种常见的认知偏见:我们不断高估自己的能力、知识和未来前景。
However, this overconfidence is a common cognitive bias: we constantly overestimate our abilities, our knowledge, and our future aspects.
控制幻想可能导致过度自信的影响,人们对其判断的肯定程度远远超过客观证据所支持的程度。
Illusions of control can lead to the overconfidence effect in which people are far more certain of their judgments than objective evidence would support.
投资者过度自信,导致投资者认为市场只会上升,而不会下跌。
Investor overconfidence leads investors to believe the market only goes up, and never goes down.
过度自信可能有一些生存优势的自然状态,而不是金融的世界。
Overconfidence likely has some survival advantage in a state of nature, but not in the world of finance.
英格兰必须让冰岛的恶魔在伏尔加格勒休息,而且在南门的阵容中有一种安静的信心,但肯定不会过度自信。
England must lay the demons of Iceland to rest in Volgograd and there is a quiet confidence,but certainly not overconfidence, in Southgate's squad.
No matter how savvy or experienced,all financial practitioners eventually let bias, overconfidence, and emotion cloud their judgment and misguide their actions.
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