Examples of using Yield curve in English and their translations into Vietnamese
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Explaining the Yield Curve.
The gauge is known as the yield curve, and it's saying the chance of a recession is growing every day.
A paper from 2008 uses Bollinger Bands in forecasting the yield curve.[8.
The kerfuffle about the yield curve is a primary example of the division.
For those ofyou who are curious, this is why the yield curve is so important.
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An"inversion" of the yield curve takes place when lending in the short-term is perceived as more risky than lending in the long term.
The spread between the 10-year and2-year Treasury yields is a way to measure the shape of the yield curve.
However, a positively sloped yield curve has not always been the norm.
A flat yield curve may arise from normal or inverted yield curve, depending on changing economic conditions.
Recessions are upon us- The US Treasury yield curve officially closed the second quarter of 2019 inverted.
William Foster, Moody's lead US analyst,predicts the US economy will avoid a recession in 2019 and in 2020, despite the yield curve inversion's warning sign.
The phenomenon, referred to as an inversion in the yield curve, has occurred before each economic recession in the past 50 years.
The yield curve, if it's based on AA-rated corporate bonds, German Bunds, or US Treasuries, is a reflection of the relationship between risk and time for debt at various maturities.
The Cleveland Fed recession model, which is based on that yield curve, is predicting a 37.8% chance of a slowdown in one year.
And even if the yield curve does invert at some point, stock investors will have plenty of time to adjust their portfolios before the worst of the damage is done.
Although Murenbeeld& Co is expecting to see the U.S. economy slow in 2019, Schieven said that they don't seea very high risk of a recession, even as the yield curve continues to flatten.
At the moment the yield curve tells us that investors think we are in the late stage of the economic cycle, and interest rates aren't all that far from peaking.
Worries about a U.S. economic slowdown have also hit markets this week after an inversion in a part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve triggered concerns about economic weakness.
In recent weeks, the yield curve has actually steepened but Graham-Taylor said, in this instance that was related to uncertainty, rather than investor confidence in the future.
In fact, looking at the past five recessions, the S&P 500 didn't peak for more than 19 months, on average, after the yield curve inverted, along the way adding more than 22% on average at the peak..
If the goal is only to normalize the yield curve(we are talking about reducing the yield on short-term bonds below long-term issues), then probably reducing the rate by a quarter of a point will help.
The Bank will continueits stimulus program(officially known as the“Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing with Yield Curve Control” framework) until inflation rises and stabilizes above the 2.0% target.
According to his research, the yield curve needs to invert for at least one full quarter(or three months) in order to give a true predictive signal(since the 1960s, a full quarter of inversion has predicted every recession correctly);
Looking further at the bond market, the analysts noted that the market is signaling a growing risk of a recession as the yield curve flattens, meaning the spread between short-dated and long-dated bonds narrows.
Technically, the Treasury yield curve can change in various ways: it can move up or down(a parallel shift), become flatter or steeper(a shift in slope), or become more or less humped in the middle(a change in curvature.
For example, the current U.S. dollar interest rates paid on U.S. Treasury securities for various maturities are closely watched by many traders, andare commonly plotted on a graph which is informally called“the yield curve..
Overall, banks need a good economy and a properly sloped yield curve, and maybe we're getting that,” said Kevin Caron, senior portfolio manager at Washington Crossing Advisors in Florham Park.
Interest rates increased across all products in the survey, and, perhaps most notably,the 5/1 ARM rate increased to its highest level since April 2011, potentially another sign that the yield curve continues to flatten.
Right now is tricky because the S&P 500 is close to an all-time high, the yield curve has inverted, yet the S&P 500yield was recently higher than the 10-year yield as of September 2019.
Under a new"yield curve control" framework, the BOJ's main means for monetary easing would be to deepen negative interest rates from the current minus 0.1 percent, or lower its 10-year bond yield target- now set at around zero percent.