Examples of using Second-round effects in English and their translations into German
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Political
However,"second-round effects" obviously take time.
It remains imperative to avoid broad-based second-round effects in price and wage-setting.
Iii be vigilant that second-round effects from the high inflation in 2004 do not affect the inflation convergence path envisaged in the programme.
It is thereforecrucial that all parties concerned meet their responsibilities and that second-round effects be avoided.
It remains committed to preventing second-round effects and the materialisation of upside risks to price stability over the medium term.
For monetary policy, core inflation measures are important because they indicate potential second-round effects due to changed wage- and price-setting behavior.
In addition the Governing Council is strongly concerned that price andwage-setting behaviour could add to inflationary pressure through broadly-based second-round effects.
Upside risks continued to prevail,in particular with regard to potential second-round effects in wage and price-setting resulting from higher oil prices.
While most of the increase in headline inflation in 2001 was related to one-off effects(oil price hikes and food price hikes linked to bad weather and BSE),there was a substantial risk of second-round effects.
The Governing Council remains strongly committed to preventing second-round effects and the materialisation of upside risks to price stability over the medium term.
It became increasingly evident that consumer price inflation would remain above 2% for longer than earlier anticipated,increasing the risk that second-round effects via wages would emerge.
By acting in a firm and timely manner,the Governing Council will prevent second-round effects and ensure that risks to price stability over the medium term do not materialise.
This scenario of elevated inflation rates remained subject to previously identified upside risks, notably furtherincreases in oil prices and indirect taxes and, more particularly, potential second-round effects in wage and price-setting.
Against this background, the Governing Council remains committed to preventing second-round effects and the materialisation of upside risks to price stability over the medium term.
The period of wage moderation may be coming to an end,” warns Otmar Issing, the ECB's chief economist, implying that soaring energy prices may now befeeding through into the overall price level so-called“second-round effects”.
The programme's projections for inflation appear on the low side andare only plausible if second-round effects from the high headline inflation in 2004 are strictly contained.
Upside risks are associated mainly with second-round effects of recent oil price shocks, future oil price developments and wage developments against the background of the rapid expansion in domestic demand.
Concerns relate in particular to future oilprice developments and, more generally, to the potential risk of second-round effects in wage and price-setting throughout the economy.
Against this background,the Governing Council stressed that it remains imperative to avoid broad-based second-round effects in price and wage-setting and called upon all parties concerned to meet their responsibilities in the face of the current exceptional challenges.
More fundamentally, the projections assume that recent oil and food price dynamicsand their impact on HICP inflation do not have broadly based second-round effects on wage and price-setting behaviour.
This action underlines theGoverning Council's strong determination to prevent second-round effects and maintain longer-term inflation expectations firmly anchored in line with price stability.
Although the expected increases in energy prices, indirect taxes and administered prices are, as such, only expected to result in one-off price shocks, the combination of such price shocks in an environment of very buoyant growth andtightening labour market conditions implies risks of second-round effects and thus a more significant and protracted increase in inflation.
In particular, for the recent increase in inflation to remain temporary,it is of the essence that no second-round effects materialise via an impact from current inflation rates on wage and price-setting behaviour.
Moreover, it is important to stress that the expectation of a moderation in the rate of inflation-- which is embedded in the December 2007 Eurosystem staff macroeconomic projections-- assumes some reversal of the recent rises in commodity prices-- in line with what is currently captured by futures prices-- and, more fundamentally, that recent oil and food price dynamics and their impact on HICPinflation do not have broadly-based second-round effects on wage and price-setting behaviour.
When all is said and done, however, the debate over capacitymarkets shows that the expansion of renewables produces second-round effects that policymakers will have to focus on more closely in future.
Moreover, higher than expected wage growth may emerge, taking into account high capacity utilisation,tight labour market conditions and the risk of second-round effects owing to the high level of current inflation rates.
The Governing Council believes that the current monetary policy stance will contribute to achieving this objective,and remains strongly committed to preventing second-round effects and the materialisation of upside risks to price stability over the medium term.
The size of all savings measures over this whole period is around 4% of GDP, eventhough the improvement in the actual deficit would be far less due to second-round effects on economic activity and on the government accounts.
The remaining upside risks relate to an unexpected increase in commodity prices, as well as in indirect taxes and administeredprices, and the emergence of broad-based, second-round effects in price and wage-setting behaviour, particularly in economies where nominal wages are indexed to consumer prices.